EdgeTake

2B · TOR

Charles McAdoo — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
8
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.11
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Charles McAdoo (TOR) sits at 0.13 home runs per game through 8 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.13. 0% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our model projects 0.11, below the market line of 0.92.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Sonny Gray (RHP)

vs LHP
.222
.778 OPS · 1 HR · 9 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.125
.250 OPS · 0 HR · 16 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Charles McAdoo went over in 0 of 8 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 0.92 — edge -0.81.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/813%

Share of 2026 games McAdoo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 8 avg
0.13
Season avg
0.13

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 8 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.00
Away (4)
0.25
Home edge
-0.25

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-29vs BAL1Under
2026-05-31vs BAL0Under
2026-06-04vs ATL0Under
2026-06-09vs PHI0Under
2026-06-10vs PHI0Under
2026-06-13vs NYY0Under
2026-06-14vs NYY0Under
2026-06-19vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Charles McAdoo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.