EdgeTake

2B · COL

Chad Stevens — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Runs
1
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.45
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Chad Stevens (COL) has averaged 0.1 runs per game across 10 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.1. They've gone over 0.5 in 10% of those games. Our model projects 0.45, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +145 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -182 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Chad Stevens went over in 1 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/1010%
1.50/100%

Share of 2026 games Stevens finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.10

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.50
Away (8)
0.00
Home edge
+0.50

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF1Over
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under
2026-06-04vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Chad Stevens’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.