EdgeTake

C · HOU

César Salazar — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Hits
1
Per Game
0.14
Projection
0.61
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

César Salazar (HOU) sits at 0.14 hits per game through 7 games, tracking close to that at 0.14 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 14% of those games. Our projection of 0.61 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ CWS — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Davis Martin (RHP)

vs LHP
.200
.400 OPS · 0 HR · 5 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.000
.235 OPS · 0 HR · 17 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -121 at DraftKings — model 53% to hit, -3.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -110 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -121 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), César Salazar went over in 1 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.61 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/714%
1.50/70%
2.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Salazar finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.14
Season avg
0.14

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.00
Away (3)
0.33
Home edge
-0.33

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN1Over
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX0Under
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-27vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See César Salazar’s full profile and methodology.