CF · BOS
Ceddanne Rafaela — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 57 games this season, Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) is averaging 1.58 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.9. They've gone over 1.5 in 42% of those games. Our projection of 1.96 sits above the market line of 1.48.
Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +138 at BetRivers — model 43% to hit, +2.1% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Ceddanne Rafaela went over in 24 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 1.96 vs market line 1.48 — edge +0.48.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 41/57 | 72% |
| 1.5 | 24/57 | 42% |
| 2.5 | 11/57 | 19% |
| 3.5 | 8/57 | 14% |
Share of 2026 games Rafaela finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BAL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BAL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs HOU | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs DET | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs BAL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ceddanne Rafaela’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.