EdgeTake

LF · SF

Casey Schmitt — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
84
Stolen Bases
7
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.04
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 84 games this season, Casey Schmitt (SF) is averaging 0.08 stolen bases per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 8% of games this season. Our model projects 0.04, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs LAA — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Ryan Johnson (RHP)

vs LHP
.320
.837 OPS · 4 HR · 104 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.255
.777 OPS · 17 HR · 296 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1100 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Casey Schmitt went over in 7 of 84 2026 games.

Our projection 0.04 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.46.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/848%

Share of 2026 games Schmitt finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (36)
0.06
Away (48)
0.10
Home edge
-0.05

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYY0Under
2026-03-27vs NYY0Under
2026-03-28vs NYY0Under
2026-03-31vs SD1Over
2026-04-01vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs SD0Under
2026-04-03vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs PHI0Under
2026-04-10vs BAL0Under
2026-04-11vs BAL0Under
2026-04-12vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs CIN0Under
2026-04-15vs CIN0Under
2026-04-16vs CIN0Under
2026-04-17vs WSH0Under
2026-04-18vs WSH0Under
2026-04-19vs WSH0Under
2026-04-22vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-25vs MIA0Under
2026-04-25vs MIA0Under
2026-04-26vs MIA0Under
2026-04-28vs PHI0Under
2026-04-29vs PHI0Under
2026-04-30vs PHI0Under
2026-05-01vs TB0Under
2026-05-02vs TB0Under
2026-05-03vs TB1Over
2026-05-05vs SD0Under
2026-05-06vs SD0Under
2026-05-06vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs PIT0Under
2026-05-10vs PIT0Under
2026-05-12vs LAD1Over
2026-05-13vs LAD0Under
2026-05-15vs LAD0Under
2026-05-16vs ATH0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-19vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS0Under
2026-05-24vs CWS0Under
2026-05-25vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ1Over
2026-05-30vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs COL1Over
2026-06-01vs MIL0Under
2026-06-02vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs MIL0Under
2026-06-04vs MIL0Under
2026-06-05vs CHC0Under
2026-06-06vs CHC0Under
2026-06-08vs CHC0Under
2026-06-09vs WSH0Under
2026-06-10vs WSH0Under
2026-06-10vs WSH0Under
2026-06-13vs CHC0Under
2026-06-14vs CHC0Under
2026-06-14vs CHC1Over
2026-06-16vs ATL1Over
2026-06-17vs ATL0Under
2026-06-19vs MIA0Under
2026-06-20vs MIA0Under
2026-06-21vs MIA0Under
2026-06-24vs ATH0Under
2026-06-25vs ATH0Under
2026-06-25vs ATH0Under
2026-06-27vs ATL0Under
2026-06-28vs ATL0Under
2026-06-30vs AZ0Under
2026-07-01vs AZ0Under
2026-07-02vs AZ0Under
2026-07-04vs COL0Under
2026-07-05vs COL0Under
2026-07-05vs COL0Under
2026-07-07vs TOR0Under
2026-07-08vs TOR0Under
2026-07-08vs TOR0Under
2026-07-10vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Casey Schmitt’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.