EdgeTake

DH · SF

Casey Schmitt — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
55
Hits
61
Per Game
1.11
Projection
0.97
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Casey Schmitt (SF) sits at 1.11 hits per game through 55 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.1. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 33% of games this season. We project 0.97, ahead of the 0.93 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -255 at DraftKings — model 71% to hit, -0.5% EV.

Over 1.5 +200 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -255 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Casey Schmitt went over in 18 of 55 2026 games.

Our projection 0.97 vs market line 0.93 — edge +0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.537/5567%
1.518/5533%
2.55/559%

Share of 2026 games Schmitt finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
1.11

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.86
Away (34)
1.26
Home edge
-0.41

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYY0Under
2026-03-27vs NYY0Under
2026-03-28vs NYY0Under
2026-03-31vs SD2Over
2026-04-01vs SD1Under
2026-04-01vs SD0Under
2026-04-03vs NYM3Over
2026-04-08vs PHI1Under
2026-04-10vs BAL3Over
2026-04-11vs BAL1Under
2026-04-12vs BAL3Over
2026-04-14vs CIN0Under
2026-04-15vs CIN0Under
2026-04-16vs CIN1Under
2026-04-17vs WSH2Over
2026-04-18vs WSH2Over
2026-04-19vs WSH1Under
2026-04-22vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-25vs MIA1Under
2026-04-25vs MIA2Over
2026-04-26vs MIA1Under
2026-04-28vs PHI0Under
2026-04-29vs PHI2Over
2026-04-30vs PHI2Over
2026-05-01vs TB1Under
2026-05-02vs TB1Under
2026-05-03vs TB2Over
2026-05-05vs SD1Under
2026-05-06vs SD1Under
2026-05-06vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs PIT1Under
2026-05-10vs PIT0Under
2026-05-12vs LAD2Over
2026-05-13vs LAD0Under
2026-05-15vs LAD0Under
2026-05-16vs ATH0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH4Over
2026-05-17vs ATH2Over
2026-05-19vs AZ1Under
2026-05-20vs AZ1Under
2026-05-20vs AZ1Under
2026-05-23vs CWS0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS2Over
2026-05-24vs CWS2Over
2026-05-25vs AZ1Under
2026-05-27vs AZ2Over
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-30vs COL1Under
2026-05-31vs COL1Under
2026-05-31vs COL3Over
2026-06-01vs MIL0Under
2026-06-02vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs MIL1Under
2026-06-04vs MIL2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Casey Schmitt’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.