C · KC
Carter Jensen — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Carter Jensen (KC) has averaged 1.21 total bases per game across 58 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 1. They've gone over 1.5 in 33% of those games. Our model projects 1.4, a step above the market line of 1.24.
Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -152 at Caesars — model 61% to hit, +1.9% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Carter Jensen went over in 19 of 58 2026 games.
Our projection 1.4 vs market line 1.24 — edge +0.16.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/58 | 50% |
| 1.5 | 19/58 | 33% |
| 2.5 | 11/58 | 19% |
| 3.5 | 7/58 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Jensen finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CLE | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CLE | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CWS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYY | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BAL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-06 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carter Jensen’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.