C · KC
Carter Jensen — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Carter Jensen (KC) has averaged 0.42 runs per game across 57 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.4. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 35% of games this season. Our model projects 0.53, a step above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Carter Jensen went over in 20 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 0.53 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.03.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/57 | 35% |
| 1.5 | 4/57 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Jensen finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carter Jensen’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.