C · BOS
Carlos Narváez — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Carlos Narváez (BOS) sits at 0.97 total bases per game through 36 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.9. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 56% of games this season. Our model projects 1.26, a step above the market line of 1.21.
Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -120 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, +1.2% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Carlos Narváez went over in 20 of 36 2026 games.
Our projection 1.26 vs market line 1.21 — edge +0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/36 | 56% |
| 1.5 | 10/36 | 28% |
| 2.5 | 3/36 | 8% |
| 3.5 | 2/36 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Narváez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carlos Narváez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.