C · BOS
Carlos Narváez — Stolen Bases
2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 49 games this season, Carlos Narváez (BOS) is averaging 0.02 stolen bases per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 2% of games. We project 0.02, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Career vs Dylan Cease: 0-for-3 (.000 AVG) over 3 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Carlos Narváez went over in 1 of 49 2026 games.
Our projection 0.02 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.48.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/49 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Narváez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases
| Date | Opp | Stolen Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Carlos Narváez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.