EdgeTake

RF · HOU

Cam Smith — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
62
Total Bases
73
Per Game
1.18
Projection
1.35
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Cam Smith (HOU) sits at 1.18 total bases per game through 62 games, trending up to 1.8 across the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 27% of games this season. Our model projects 1.35, a step above the market line of 0.9.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -160 at BetMGM — model 60% to hit, -3.3% EV.

Over 0.5 -160 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +127 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Cam Smith went over in 17 of 62 2026 games.

Our projection 1.35 vs market line 0.9 — edge +0.45.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.532/6252%
1.517/6227%
2.59/6215%
3.58/6213%

Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.80
Season avg
1.18

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.81
Away (31)
1.55
Home edge
-0.74

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA1Under
2026-03-29vs LAA0Under
2026-03-31vs BOS2Over
2026-04-01vs BOS5Over
2026-04-01vs BOS1Under
2026-04-04vs ATH1Under
2026-04-04vs ATH4Over
2026-04-05vs ATH2Over
2026-04-07vs COL6Over
2026-04-08vs COL1Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-11vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA6Over
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-13vs SEA1Under
2026-04-15vs COL1Under
2026-04-16vs COL2Over
2026-04-17vs COL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-19vs STL0Under
2026-04-20vs CLE0Under
2026-04-21vs CLE2Over
2026-04-22vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-26vs NYY0Under
2026-04-28vs BAL1Under
2026-04-29vs BAL4Over
2026-05-01vs BOS0Under
2026-05-02vs BOS2Over
2026-05-03vs BOS3Over
2026-05-05vs LAD1Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN1Under
2026-05-09vs CIN0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-13vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA1Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN1Under
2026-05-19vs MIN0Under
2026-05-20vs MIN2Over
2026-05-22vs CHC1Under
2026-05-23vs CHC1Under
2026-05-24vs CHC2Over
2026-05-25vs TEX1Under
2026-05-27vs TEX4Over
2026-05-28vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX2Over
2026-05-30vs MIL6Over
2026-05-30vs MIL1Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT0Under
2026-06-04vs PIT4Over
2026-06-05vs PIT0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Cam Smith’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.