EdgeTake

RF · HOU

Cam Smith — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
62
Home Runs
6
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.1
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Cam Smith (HOU) sits at 0.1 home runs per game through 62 games, trending up to 0.2 across the last 10. 0% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 0.1 comes in under the market line of 1.12.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Cam Smith went over in 0 of 62 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.12 — edge -1.02.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/6210%

Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.10

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
0.06
Away (31)
0.13
Home edge
-0.06

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-29vs LAA0Under
2026-03-31vs BOS0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS1Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH1Under
2026-04-05vs ATH0Under
2026-04-07vs COL1Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-11vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-13vs SEA0Under
2026-04-15vs COL0Under
2026-04-16vs COL0Under
2026-04-17vs COL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-19vs STL0Under
2026-04-20vs CLE0Under
2026-04-21vs CLE0Under
2026-04-22vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-26vs NYY0Under
2026-04-28vs BAL0Under
2026-04-29vs BAL1Under
2026-05-01vs BOS0Under
2026-05-02vs BOS0Under
2026-05-03vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN0Under
2026-05-09vs CIN0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-13vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN0Under
2026-05-20vs MIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CHC0Under
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC0Under
2026-05-25vs TEX0Under
2026-05-27vs TEX1Under
2026-05-28vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL1Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT0Under
2026-06-04vs PIT0Under
2026-06-05vs PIT0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Cam Smith’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.