EdgeTake

C · SEA

Cal Raleigh — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
62
Home Runs
9
Per Game
0.15
Projection
0.26
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Cal Raleigh (SEA) has averaged 0.15 home runs per game across 62 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.1. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 0% of games this season. We project 0.26, short of the 1.12 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ TEX — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)

vs LHP
.148
.467 OPS · 2 HR · 94 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.172
.618 OPS · 8 HR · 215 PA

Career vs Nathan Eovaldi: 5-for-20, 1 HR (.250 AVG) over 24 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +280 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Cal Raleigh went over in 0 of 62 2026 games.

Our projection 0.26 vs market line 1.12 — edge -0.86.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/6215%

Share of 2026 games Raleigh finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.15

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (32)
0.16
Away (30)
0.13
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs CLE0Under
2026-03-28vs CLE0Under
2026-03-29vs CLE0Under
2026-03-29vs CLE0Under
2026-03-31vs NYY0Under
2026-04-01vs NYY0Under
2026-04-01vs NYY0Under
2026-04-04vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs LAA0Under
2026-04-07vs TEX1Under
2026-04-08vs TEX0Under
2026-04-08vs TEX0Under
2026-04-11vs HOU0Under
2026-04-12vs HOU1Under
2026-04-12vs HOU0Under
2026-04-13vs HOU0Under
2026-04-15vs SD0Under
2026-04-16vs SD0Under
2026-04-17vs SD0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX0Under
2026-04-18vs TEX0Under
2026-04-19vs TEX0Under
2026-04-21vs ATH1Under
2026-04-22vs ATH1Under
2026-04-22vs ATH1Under
2026-04-25vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs STL0Under
2026-04-26vs STL1Under
2026-04-27vs MIN1Under
2026-04-28vs MIN0Under
2026-04-29vs MIN0Under
2026-05-02vs KC0Under
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-06vs ATL0Under
2026-05-08vs CWS0Under
2026-05-09vs CWS0Under
2026-05-10vs CWS0Under
2026-05-12vs HOU0Under
2026-05-13vs HOU0Under
2026-05-14vs HOU0Under
2026-06-17vs BAL0Under
2026-06-18vs BAL0Under
2026-06-18vs BAL0Under
2026-06-20vs BOS0Under
2026-06-21vs BOS0Under
2026-06-21vs BOS0Under
2026-06-23vs PIT1Under
2026-06-24vs PIT0Under
2026-06-25vs PIT0Under
2026-06-26vs CLE0Under
2026-06-27vs CLE0Under
2026-06-28vs CLE0Under
2026-06-30vs LAA0Under
2026-07-01vs LAA0Under
2026-07-03vs LAA0Under
2026-07-04vs TOR0Under
2026-07-04vs TOR1Under
2026-07-05vs TOR0Under
2026-07-07vs MIA0Under
2026-07-08vs MIA0Under
2026-07-09vs MIA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Cal Raleigh’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.