EdgeTake

CF · MIN

Byron Buxton — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
54
Hits
58
Per Game
1.07
Projection
0.97
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 54 games this season, Byron Buxton (MIN) is averaging 1.07 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.9. They've gone over 1.5 in 28% of those games. We project 0.97, ahead of the 0.76 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -252 at DraftKings — model 71% to hit, -0.2% EV.

Over 1.5 +200 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -252 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Byron Buxton went over in 15 of 54 2026 games.

Our projection 0.97 vs market line 0.76 — edge +0.21.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.538/5470%
1.515/5428%
2.54/547%

Share of 2026 games Buxton finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.07

Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
1.19
Away (27)
0.96
Home edge
+0.22

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BAL1Under
2026-03-28vs BAL2Over
2026-03-29vs BAL1Under
2026-03-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-01vs KC0Under
2026-04-02vs KC0Under
2026-04-03vs TB0Under
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-06vs DET1Under
2026-04-07vs DET1Under
2026-04-08vs DET3Over
2026-04-09vs DET0Under
2026-04-10vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TOR1Under
2026-04-13vs BOS2Over
2026-04-14vs BOS4Over
2026-04-15vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN1Under
2026-04-18vs CIN1Under
2026-04-19vs CIN1Under
2026-04-21vs NYM1Under
2026-04-22vs NYM1Under
2026-04-23vs NYM1Under
2026-04-24vs TB0Under
2026-04-25vs TB2Over
2026-04-27vs SEA1Under
2026-04-28vs SEA2Over
2026-04-29vs SEA1Under
2026-04-30vs TOR3Over
2026-05-02vs TOR2Over
2026-05-02vs TOR1Under
2026-05-03vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs WSH1Under
2026-05-06vs WSH0Under
2026-05-07vs WSH1Under
2026-05-08vs CLE3Over
2026-05-09vs CLE2Over
2026-05-10vs CLE1Under
2026-05-12vs MIA0Under
2026-05-13vs MIA2Over
2026-05-19vs HOU2Over
2026-05-20vs HOU0Under
2026-05-22vs BOS2Over
2026-05-23vs BOS1Under
2026-05-25vs CWS1Under
2026-05-26vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS1Under
2026-05-28vs CWS1Under
2026-05-29vs PIT0Under
2026-05-30vs PIT2Over
2026-06-01vs CWS1Under
2026-06-02vs CWS1Under
2026-06-03vs CWS0Under
2026-06-04vs KC2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Byron Buxton’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.