EdgeTake

LF · PIT

Bryan Reynolds — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
63
Runs
41
Per Game
0.65
Projection
0.46
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Bryan Reynolds (PIT) sits at 0.65 runs per game through 63 games, trending up to 1 across the last 10. 49% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.46 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +150 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -182 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Bryan Reynolds went over in 31 of 63 2026 games.

Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.531/6349%
1.59/6314%

Share of 2026 games Reynolds finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
0.65

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (33)
0.82
Away (30)
0.47
Home edge
+0.35

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYM0Under
2026-03-28vs NYM1Over
2026-03-29vs NYM1Over
2026-03-30vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs CIN1Over
2026-04-01vs CIN2Over
2026-04-03vs BAL1Over
2026-04-04vs BAL2Over
2026-04-05vs BAL1Over
2026-04-06vs SD0Under
2026-04-07vs SD1Over
2026-04-08vs SD0Under
2026-04-10vs CHC1Over
2026-04-11vs CHC0Under
2026-04-12vs CHC0Under
2026-04-13vs WSH1Over
2026-04-14vs WSH1Over
2026-04-15vs WSH1Over
2026-04-16vs WSH0Under
2026-04-17vs TB0Under
2026-04-18vs TB1Over
2026-04-19vs TB0Under
2026-04-22vs TEX0Under
2026-04-23vs TEX1Over
2026-04-24vs TEX0Under
2026-04-24vs MIL0Under
2026-04-25vs MIL2Over
2026-04-26vs MIL0Under
2026-04-27vs STL0Under
2026-04-28vs STL2Over
2026-04-29vs STL0Under
2026-04-30vs STL1Over
2026-05-01vs CIN2Over
2026-05-02vs CIN3Over
2026-05-03vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs AZ0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ0Under
2026-05-07vs AZ1Over
2026-05-09vs SF0Under
2026-05-10vs SF0Under
2026-05-10vs SF0Under
2026-05-12vs COL0Under
2026-05-13vs COL0Under
2026-05-14vs COL1Over
2026-05-15vs PHI1Over
2026-05-16vs PHI0Under
2026-05-17vs PHI0Under
2026-05-19vs STL1Over
2026-05-20vs STL0Under
2026-05-21vs STL0Under
2026-05-22vs TOR0Under
2026-05-23vs TOR1Over
2026-05-24vs TOR0Under
2026-05-25vs CHC0Under
2026-05-26vs CHC2Over
2026-05-27vs CHC0Under
2026-05-28vs CHC1Over
2026-05-29vs MIN2Over
2026-05-30vs MIN1Over
2026-05-31vs MIN2Over
2026-06-03vs HOU0Under
2026-06-04vs HOU1Over
2026-06-05vs HOU1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Bryan Reynolds’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.