CF · HOU
Brice Matthews — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Brice Matthews (HOU) sits at 0.98 total bases per game through 49 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.6. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 45% of games this season. We project 1.23, ahead of the 0.79 market line.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 +105 at BetMGM — model 52% to hit, +6.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Brice Matthews went over in 22 of 49 2026 games.
Our projection 1.23 vs market line 0.79 — edge +0.44.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 22/49 | 45% |
| 1.5 | 11/49 | 22% |
| 2.5 | 6/49 | 12% |
| 3.5 | 5/49 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Matthews finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BOS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs BAL | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs BOS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CIN | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brice Matthews’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.