C · TOR
Brandon Valenzuela — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Brandon Valenzuela (TOR) has averaged 1.16 total bases per game across 37 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 1.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 51% of games. We project 1.42, ahead of the 0.73 market line.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -125 at BetMGM — model 57% to hit, +3.3% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Brandon Valenzuela went over in 19 of 37 2026 games.
Our projection 1.42 vs market line 0.73 — edge +0.69.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 19/37 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 8/37 | 22% |
| 2.5 | 5/37 | 14% |
| 3.5 | 5/37 | 14% |
Share of 2026 games Valenzuela finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BOS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAA | 8 | Over |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATL | 4 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brandon Valenzuela’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.