C · TOR
Brandon Valenzuela — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Brandon Valenzuela (TOR) sits at 0.13 home runs per game through 53 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. 13% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.11 comes in under the market line of 1.02.
Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Patrick Sandoval (LHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Brandon Valenzuela went over in 7 of 53 2026 games.
Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.02 — edge -0.91.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 7/53 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Valenzuela finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-08 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-29 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brandon Valenzuela’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.