RF · TEX
Brandon Nimmo — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Brandon Nimmo (TEX) has averaged 0.98 hits per game across 60 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.6 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 63% of games. Our model projects 0.75, a step above the market line of 0.62.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +157 at DraftKings — model 43% to hit, +10.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Brandon Nimmo went over in 38 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 0.75 vs market line 0.62 — edge +0.13.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 38/60 | 63% |
| 1.5 | 17/60 | 28% |
| 2.5 | 4/60 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Nimmo finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brandon Nimmo’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.