2B · PIT
Brandon Lowe — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Brandon Lowe (PIT) sits at 2.07 total bases per game through 57 games, tracking close to that at 1.9 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 46% of games. Our projection of 1.62 lands right around the market line of 1.58.
Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +140 at BetMGM — model 40% to hit, -4.6% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (bovada), Brandon Lowe went over in 26 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 1.62 vs market line 1.58 — edge +0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 37/57 | 65% |
| 1.5 | 26/57 | 46% |
| 2.5 | 16/57 | 28% |
| 3.5 | 15/57 | 26% |
Share of 2026 games Lowe finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYM | 8 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs NYM | 6 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CHC | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs WSH | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs STL | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs AZ | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs AZ | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SF | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PHI | 8 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs STL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CHC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs MIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs HOU | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs HOU | 4 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Brandon Lowe’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.