SS · HOU
Braden Shewmake — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Braden Shewmake (HOU) sits at 0.37 runs per game through 27 games, tracking close to that at 0.4 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 33% of games. We project 0.45, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ CWS — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Sean Burke (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Braden Shewmake went over in 9 of 27 2026 games.
Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 9/27 | 33% |
| 1.5 | 1/27 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Shewmake finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-06 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Braden Shewmake’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.