EdgeTake

RF · CWS

Braden Montgomery — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Hits
7
Per Game
0.70
Projection
0.71
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 10 games this season, Braden Montgomery (CWS) is averaging 0.7 hits per game, tracking close to that at 0.7 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 50% of games this season. Our model projects 0.71, a step above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 6 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Gavin Williams (RHP)

vs LHP
.250
.667 OPS · 0 HR · 12 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.222
.646 OPS · 1 HR · 29 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +129 at DraftKings — model 45% to hit, +3.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -160 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +129 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Braden Montgomery went over in 5 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 0.71 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.21.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/1050%
1.52/1020%
2.50/100%

Share of 2026 games Montgomery finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
0.70

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
1.00
Away (5)
0.40
Home edge
+0.60

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-06-09vs ATL2Over
2026-06-10vs ATL2Over
2026-06-12vs LAD0Under
2026-06-13vs LAD0Under
2026-06-14vs LAD1Over
2026-06-16vs NYY0Under
2026-06-17vs NYY1Over
2026-06-18vs NYY0Under
2026-06-19vs DET0Under
2026-06-20vs DET1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Braden Montgomery’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.