EdgeTake

SS · KC

Bobby Witt Jr. — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
88
Hits
100
Per Game
1.14
Projection
1.21
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) has averaged 1.14 hits per game across 88 games this season, tracking close to that at 1.1 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 30% of games. We project 1.21, short of the 1.41 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 6 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Casey Mize (RHP)

vs LHP
.326
.915 OPS · 3 HR · 102 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.264
.762 OPS · 10 HR · 312 PA

Career vs Casey Mize: 7-for-17, 2 HR (.412 AVG) over 20 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -206 at DraftKings — model 65% to hit, -3.5% EV.

Over 1.5 +165 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -206 DraftKings

At a line of 1.5 (betonlineag), Bobby Witt Jr. went over in 26 of 88 2026 games.

Our projection 1.21 vs market line 1.41 — edge -0.2.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.568/8877%
1.526/8830%
2.55/886%

Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
1.14

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (45)
1.22
Away (43)
1.05
Home edge
+0.18

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL2Over
2026-03-28vs ATL1Under
2026-03-29vs ATL1Under
2026-03-30vs MIN0Under
2026-04-01vs MIN1Under
2026-04-02vs MIN1Under
2026-04-03vs MIL0Under
2026-04-04vs MIL1Under
2026-04-05vs MIL1Under
2026-04-06vs CLE2Over
2026-04-07vs CLE0Under
2026-04-08vs CLE2Over
2026-04-09vs CWS2Over
2026-04-10vs CWS1Under
2026-04-11vs CWS0Under
2026-04-12vs CWS1Under
2026-04-14vs DET1Under
2026-04-15vs DET0Under
2026-04-16vs DET3Over
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY1Under
2026-04-19vs NYY2Over
2026-04-20vs BAL2Over
2026-04-21vs BAL1Under
2026-04-22vs BAL1Under
2026-04-24vs LAA1Under
2026-04-25vs LAA2Over
2026-04-26vs LAA2Over
2026-04-29vs ATH1Under
2026-04-30vs ATH2Over
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-02vs SEA1Under
2026-05-03vs SEA1Under
2026-05-03vs SEA1Under
2026-05-04vs CLE1Under
2026-05-05vs CLE2Over
2026-05-06vs CLE0Under
2026-05-07vs CLE4Over
2026-05-08vs DET1Under
2026-05-09vs DET1Under
2026-05-10vs DET2Over
2026-05-12vs CWS2Over
2026-05-13vs CWS1Under
2026-05-14vs CWS1Under
2026-05-16vs STL2Over
2026-05-16vs STL1Under
2026-05-17vs STL0Under
2026-05-18vs BOS1Under
2026-05-19vs BOS1Under
2026-05-20vs BOS1Under
2026-05-22vs SEA0Under
2026-05-23vs SEA2Over
2026-05-24vs SEA1Under
2026-05-25vs NYY1Under
2026-05-26vs NYY1Under
2026-05-27vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX1Under
2026-05-31vs TEX2Over
2026-06-01vs CIN1Under
2026-06-02vs CIN0Under
2026-06-03vs CIN1Under
2026-06-04vs MIN1Under
2026-06-06vs MIN1Under
2026-06-06vs MIN2Over
2026-06-07vs MIN0Under
2026-06-09vs TEX0Under
2026-06-10vs TEX2Over
2026-06-11vs TEX1Under
2026-06-13vs HOU1Under
2026-06-13vs HOU3Over
2026-06-14vs HOU2Over
2026-06-15vs WSH0Under
2026-06-16vs WSH3Over
2026-06-17vs WSH1Under
2026-06-18vs STL2Over
2026-06-26vs CWS0Under
2026-06-27vs CWS1Under
2026-06-28vs CWS0Under
2026-06-30vs TB3Over
2026-07-01vs TB1Under
2026-07-02vs TB0Under
2026-07-05vs PHI0Under
2026-07-05vs PHI2Over
2026-07-06vs PHI2Over
2026-07-07vs NYM1Under
2026-07-08vs NYM1Under
2026-07-09vs NYM1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Bobby Witt Jr.’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.