3B · STL
Blaze Jordan — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 8 games this season, Blaze Jordan (STL) is averaging 0.63 runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.63 over the last 10. 38% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.49, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs AZ — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Merrill Kelly (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Blaze Jordan went over in 3 of 8 2026 games.
Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/8 | 38% |
| 1.5 | 2/8 | 25% |
Share of 2026 games Jordan finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 8 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-14 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-15 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-18 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blaze Jordan’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.