EdgeTake

3B · BAL

Blaze Alexander — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
44
Hits
34
Per Game
0.77
Projection
1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 44 games this season, Blaze Alexander (BAL) is averaging 0.77 hits per game, trending up to 1 across the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 50% of games. Our projection of 1 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ TOR — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -150 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Blaze Alexander went over in 22 of 44 2026 games.

Our projection 1 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.5.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.522/4450%
1.58/4418%
2.54/449%

Share of 2026 games Alexander finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.00
Season avg
0.77

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (24)
0.79
Away (20)
0.75
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIN1Over
2026-03-29vs MIN1Over
2026-03-30vs TEX1Over
2026-03-31vs TEX1Over
2026-04-03vs PIT2Over
2026-04-04vs PIT0Under
2026-04-05vs PIT0Under
2026-04-07vs CWS2Over
2026-04-08vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs SF0Under
2026-04-13vs AZ0Under
2026-04-14vs AZ0Under
2026-04-15vs AZ1Over
2026-04-16vs CLE1Over
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC0Under
2026-04-21vs KC0Under
2026-04-25vs BOS0Under
2026-04-26vs BOS0Under
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-04-30vs HOU1Over
2026-05-01vs NYY1Over
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY2Over
2026-05-04vs NYY3Over
2026-05-05vs MIA1Over
2026-05-06vs MIA1Over
2026-05-10vs ATH0Under
2026-05-11vs NYY0Under
2026-05-13vs NYY3Over
2026-05-15vs WSH0Under
2026-05-18vs TB1Over
2026-05-20vs TB0Under
2026-05-22vs DET1Over
2026-05-23vs DET0Under
2026-05-24vs DET0Under
2026-05-25vs TB3Over
2026-05-26vs TB0Under
2026-05-27vs TB3Over
2026-05-28vs TOR1Over
2026-05-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-31vs TOR2Over
2026-06-02vs BOS1Over
2026-06-03vs BOS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blaze Alexander’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.