EdgeTake

RF · CIN

Blake Dunn — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
19
Total Bases
32
Per Game
1.68
Projection
1.81
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Blake Dunn (CIN) has averaged 1.68 total bases per game across 19 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 1.4. They've gone over 1.5 in 47% of those games. We project 1.81, ahead of the 1.25 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +145 at BetMGM — model 42% to hit, +2.1% EV.

Over 1.5 +145 BetMGMUnder 1.5 -165 Fanatics

At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Blake Dunn went over in 9 of 19 2026 games.

Our projection 1.81 vs market line 1.25 — edge +0.56.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/1968%
1.59/1947%
2.54/1921%
3.53/1916%

Share of 2026 games Dunn finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.40
Season avg
1.68

Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (11)
1.18
Away (8)
2.38
Home edge
-1.19

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-07vs CHC5Over
2026-05-10vs HOU2Over
2026-05-13vs WSH0Under
2026-05-14vs WSH0Under
2026-05-16vs CLE2Over
2026-05-17vs CLE1Under
2026-05-19vs PHI2Over
2026-05-20vs PHI5Over
2026-05-22vs STL1Under
2026-05-23vs STL2Over
2026-05-25vs NYM0Under
2026-05-26vs NYM1Under
2026-05-27vs NYM3Over
2026-05-29vs ATL0Under
2026-05-30vs ATL2Over
2026-05-31vs ATL0Under
2026-06-01vs KC0Under
2026-06-02vs KC1Under
2026-06-03vs KC5Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blake Dunn’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.