RF · CIN
Blake Dunn — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Blake Dunn (CIN) sits at 1.11 hits per game through 19 games, tracking close to that at 1 over the last 10. 68% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 1.25, ahead of the 0.62 market line.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -200 at BetMGM — model 69% to hit, +3.1% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Blake Dunn went over in 13 of 19 2026 games.
Our projection 1.25 vs market line 0.62 — edge +0.63.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 13/19 | 68% |
| 1.5 | 7/19 | 37% |
| 2.5 | 1/19 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Dunn finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYM | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Blake Dunn’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.