EdgeTake

CF · DET

Ben Malgeri — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
8
Home Runs
0
Per Game
0.00
Projection
0.12
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ben Malgeri (DET) has averaged 0 home runs per game across 8 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0. 0% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.12, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Michael Wacha (RHP)

vs LHP
.286
.741 OPS · 0 HR · 25 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.182
.490 OPS · 0 HR · 13 PA

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +625 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ben Malgeri went over in 0 of 8 2026 games.

Our projection 0.12 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.38.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.50/80%

Share of 2026 games Malgeri finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 8 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.00

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 8 games.

Home / away splits

Home (5)
0.00
Away (3)
0.00
Home edge
+0.00

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-06-23vs NYY0Under
2026-06-24vs NYY0Under
2026-06-28vs HOU0Under
2026-06-29vs NYY0Under
2026-07-03vs TEX0Under
2026-07-04vs TEX0Under
2026-07-07vs ATH0Under
2026-07-08vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ben Malgeri’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.