3B · ATL
Austin Riley — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Austin Riley (ATL) sits at 1.21 total bases per game through 92 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.1. 33% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our model projects 1.17, below the market line of 1.25.
Next: vs SD — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Griffin Canning (RHP)
Career vs Griffin Canning: 1-for-5 (.200 AVG) over 5 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
Under 1.5 -176 at Caesars — model 66% to hit, +3.6% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Austin Riley went over in 30 of 92 2026 games.
Our projection 1.17 vs market line 1.25 — edge -0.08.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 46/92 | 50% |
| 1.5 | 30/92 | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17/92 | 18% |
| 3.5 | 8/92 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Riley finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIA | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PHI | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CHC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs BOS | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BOS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-06 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-13 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-17 | vs SF | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-19 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-24 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs SF | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs STL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-07-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs NYM | 4 | Over |
| 2026-07-05 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-07-06 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-07 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-07-08 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Austin Riley’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.