3B · ATL
Austin Riley — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Austin Riley (ATL) has averaged 0.75 hits per game across 63 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.4. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 49% of games this season. Our model projects 0.62, a step above the market line of 0.6.
Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +145 at Fanatics — model 46% to hit, +13.6% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Austin Riley went over in 31 of 63 2026 games.
Our projection 0.62 vs market line 0.6 — edge +0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 31/63 | 49% |
| 1.5 | 14/63 | 22% |
| 2.5 | 2/63 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Riley finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs KC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Austin Riley’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.