EdgeTake

LF · CWS

Austin Hays — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
12
Runs
3
Per Game
0.25
Projection
0.57
Current Line
Next matchup

Next: vs HOU — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Hunter Brown (RHP)

vs LHP
.250
.641 OPS · 0 HR · 13 PA
vs RHP · tonight
.226
.549 OPS · 1 HR · 31 PA

Career vs Hunter Brown: 2-for-9, 1 HR (.222 AVG) over 9 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/1225%
1.50/120%

Share of 2026 games Hays finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.25

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (6)
0.17
Away (6)
0.33
Home edge
-0.17

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRuns
2026-03-26vs MIL0
2026-03-28vs MIL0
2026-03-29vs MIL0
2026-03-30vs MIA1
2026-03-31vs MIA0
2026-04-02vs TOR0
2026-04-04vs TOR1
2026-04-05vs TOR0
2026-04-06vs BAL0
2026-04-28vs LAA0
2026-04-29vs LAA0
2026-05-02vs SD1

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Austin Hays’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.