EdgeTake

2B · ATH

Alika Williams — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Runs
2
Per Game
0.29
Projection
0.41
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Alika Williams (ATH) has averaged 0.29 runs per game across 7 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.29. 29% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.41, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +180 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -232 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Alika Williams went over in 2 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.41 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.09.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/729%
1.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Williams finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.29
Season avg
0.29

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.00
Away (3)
0.67
Home edge
-0.67

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-24vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-06-04vs CHC1Over
2026-06-05vs CHC1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alika Williams’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.