EdgeTake

C · NYY

Ali Sánchez — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Total Bases
6
Per Game
0.86
Projection
1.38
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Ali Sánchez (NYY) sits at 0.86 total bases per game through 7 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.86. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 43% of games this season. Our model projects 1.38, a step above the market line of 0.75.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Framber Valdez (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.364
.819 OPS · 0 HR · 11 PA
vs RHP
.167
.453 OPS · 0 HR · 7 PA

Career vs Framber Valdez: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -130 at BetMGM — model 57% to hit, +1.2% EV.

Over 0.5 -130 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +100 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Ali Sánchez went over in 3 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 1.38 vs market line 0.75 — edge +0.63.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/743%
1.52/729%
2.51/714%
3.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Sánchez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.86
Season avg
0.86

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
1.00
Away (4)
0.75
Home edge
+0.25

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-06-07vs BOS0Under
2026-06-08vs CLE0Under
2026-06-10vs CLE0Under
2026-06-12vs TOR0Under
2026-06-14vs TOR3Over
2026-06-17vs CWS2Over
2026-06-20vs CIN1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ali Sánchez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.