EdgeTake

C · NYY

Ali Sánchez — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
7
Runs
2
Per Game
0.29
Projection
0.45
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 7 games this season, Ali Sánchez (NYY) is averaging 0.29 runs per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.29. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 29% of games this season. We project 0.45, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Matchup & splits

Probable starter: Framber Valdez (LHP)

vs LHP · tonight
.364
.819 OPS · 0 HR · 11 PA
vs RHP
.167
.453 OPS · 0 HR · 7 PA

Career vs Framber Valdez: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.

Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +175 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -235 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Ali Sánchez went over in 2 of 7 2026 games.

Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/729%
1.50/70%

Share of 2026 games Sánchez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 7 avg
0.29
Season avg
0.29

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 7 games.

Home / away splits

Home (3)
0.33
Away (4)
0.25
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-06-07vs BOS0Under
2026-06-08vs CLE1Over
2026-06-10vs CLE0Under
2026-06-12vs TOR0Under
2026-06-14vs TOR0Under
2026-06-17vs CWS1Over
2026-06-20vs CIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ali Sánchez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.