C · MIN
Alex Jackson — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Alex Jackson (MIN) has averaged 0.06 home runs per game across 18 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 6% of those games. Our model projects 0.15, below the market line of 1.09.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Mason Barnett (RHP)
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Alex Jackson went over in 1 of 18 2026 games.
Our projection 0.15 vs market line 1.09 — edge -0.94.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/18 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Jackson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-01 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-07-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-09 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Jackson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.