2B · LAD
Alex Freeland — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Alex Freeland (LAD) has averaged 1.08 total bases per game across 40 games this season, tracking close to that at 1.1 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 48% of those games. Our model projects 1.17, a step above the market line of 0.76.
Next: vs LAA — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -125 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, -0.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Alex Freeland went over in 19 of 40 2026 games.
Our projection 1.17 vs market line 0.76 — edge +0.41.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 19/40 | 48% |
| 1.5 | 7/40 | 18% |
| 2.5 | 6/40 | 15% |
| 3.5 | 5/40 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Freeland finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs AZ | 6 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs HOU | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PHI | 6 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Freeland’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.