2B · LAD
Alex Freeland — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Alex Freeland (LAD) sits at 0.04 home runs per game through 67 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 4% of games this season. Our model projects 0.07, below the market line of 0.94.
Next: @ NYM — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Probable starter: Nolan McLean (RHP)
Career vs Nolan McLean: 0-for-2 (.000 AVG) over 2 PA.
Platoon splits are 2026vs left/right-handed pitching. Batter-vs-pitcher history is shown for context only — small samples aren’t predictive and don’t feed our projection.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Alex Freeland went over in 3 of 67 2026 games.
Our projection 0.07 vs market line 0.94 — edge -0.87.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/67 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Freeland finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-07 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-09 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-11 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-12 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-13 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-14 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-16 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-17 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-20 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-21 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-27 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-02 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-04 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-05 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-07-08 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alex Freeland’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.