1B · STL
Alec Burleson — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 59 games this season, Alec Burleson (STL) is averaging 1.73 total bases per game, with the last 10 dipping to 1.3. 46% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our projection of 2.15 sits above the market line of 1.49.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +105 at BetMGM — model 48% to hit, -1.1% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (draftkings), Alec Burleson went over in 27 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 2.15 vs market line 1.49 — edge +0.66.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 41/59 | 69% |
| 1.5 | 27/59 | 46% |
| 2.5 | 19/59 | 32% |
| 3.5 | 9/59 | 15% |
Share of 2026 games Burleson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TB | 6 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs NYM | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BOS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs HOU | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs HOU | 6 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PIT | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alec Burleson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.