EdgeTake

1B · STL

Alec Burleson — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Runs
30
Per Game
0.50
Projection
0.53
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 60 games this season, Alec Burleson (STL) is averaging 0.5 runs per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.5. They've gone over 0.5 in 37% of those games. We project 0.53, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 28 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +105 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -133 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Alec Burleson went over in 22 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.53 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.522/6037%
1.55/608%

Share of 2026 games Burleson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.50

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (33)
0.45
Away (27)
0.56
Home edge
-0.10

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TB2Over
2026-03-28vs TB1Over
2026-03-29vs TB0Under
2026-03-30vs NYM0Under
2026-03-31vs NYM0Under
2026-04-01vs NYM0Under
2026-04-03vs DET0Under
2026-04-04vs DET1Over
2026-04-05vs DET0Under
2026-04-06vs WSH0Under
2026-04-07vs WSH1Over
2026-04-08vs WSH1Over
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-12vs BOS1Over
2026-04-13vs CLE0Under
2026-04-14vs CLE0Under
2026-04-15vs CLE0Under
2026-04-18vs HOU1Over
2026-04-18vs HOU1Over
2026-04-19vs HOU0Under
2026-04-20vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs MIA1Over
2026-04-25vs SEA0Under
2026-04-25vs SEA0Under
2026-04-26vs SEA0Under
2026-04-27vs PIT1Over
2026-04-28vs PIT2Over
2026-04-29vs PIT1Over
2026-04-30vs PIT1Over
2026-05-02vs LAD2Over
2026-05-02vs LAD1Over
2026-05-03vs LAD0Under
2026-05-04vs MIL0Under
2026-05-06vs MIL0Under
2026-05-08vs SD1Over
2026-05-09vs SD1Over
2026-05-09vs SD0Under
2026-05-10vs SD1Over
2026-05-13vs ATH0Under
2026-05-14vs ATH0Under
2026-05-14vs ATH0Under
2026-05-16vs KC0Under
2026-05-16vs KC0Under
2026-05-17vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs PIT3Over
2026-05-20vs PIT0Under
2026-05-21vs PIT0Under
2026-05-22vs CIN0Under
2026-05-23vs CIN1Over
2026-05-25vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs MIL0Under
2026-05-27vs MIL0Under
2026-05-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-30vs CHC0Under
2026-05-31vs CHC1Over
2026-06-01vs TEX0Under
2026-06-02vs TEX0Under
2026-06-03vs TEX0Under
2026-06-06vs CIN4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alec Burleson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.