1B · STL
Alec Burleson — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Alec Burleson (STL) has averaged 1.12 hits per game across 59 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 1. 36% of those games have finished over 1.5. Our model projects 1.45, a step above the market line of 0.8.
Next: vs CIN — their staff ranks 27 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +180 at BetRivers — model 39% to hit, +8.0% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Alec Burleson went over in 21 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 1.45 vs market line 0.8 — edge +0.65.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 41/59 | 69% |
| 1.5 | 21/59 | 36% |
| 2.5 | 4/59 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Burleson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs WSH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TEX | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Alec Burleson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.