EdgeTake

DH · AZ

Adrian Del Castillo — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Total Bases
39
Per Game
1.00
Projection
1.26
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Adrian Del Castillo (AZ) sits at 1 total bases per game through 39 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.7. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 49% of games this season. Our projection of 1.26 sits above the market line of 0.99.

Next matchup

Next: vs WSH — their staff ranks 26 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -110 at BetMGM — model 54% to hit, +3.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -110 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -120 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Adrian Del Castillo went over in 19 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 1.26 vs market line 0.99 — edge +0.27.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.519/3949%
1.510/3926%
2.56/3915%
3.54/3910%

Share of 2026 games Castillo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.61
Away (21)
1.33
Home edge
-0.72

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-04vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM1Over
2026-04-09vs NYM2Over
2026-04-11vs PHI3Over
2026-04-12vs PHI1Over
2026-04-13vs BAL1Over
2026-04-15vs BAL4Over
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR3Over
2026-04-22vs CWS0Under
2026-04-23vs CWS2Over
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD0Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL4Over
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC1Over
2026-05-03vs CHC4Over
2026-05-06vs PIT1Over
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT1Over
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM2Over
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-14vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-17vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs SF2Over
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-22vs COL0Under
2026-05-23vs COL0Under
2026-05-25vs SF1Over
2026-05-27vs SF4Over
2026-05-27vs SF1Over
2026-05-30vs SEA0Under
2026-05-31vs SEA1Over
2026-05-31vs SEA0Under
2026-06-06vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Adrian Del Castillo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.