C · BAL
Adley Rutschman — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 45 games this season, Adley Rutschman (BAL) is averaging 1.73 total bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 1.2. The over on 1.5 has hit in 40% of games. Our model projects 1.49, a step above the market line of 1.34.
Next: @ TOR — their staff ranks 11 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -175 at BetMGM — model 61% to hit, -3.5% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Adley Rutschman went over in 18 of 45 2026 games.
Our projection 1.49 vs market line 1.34 — edge +0.15.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 27/45 | 60% |
| 1.5 | 18/45 | 40% |
| 2.5 | 12/45 | 27% |
| 3.5 | 10/45 | 22% |
Share of 2026 games Rutschman finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs SF | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs KC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs BOS | 9 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs HOU | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs ATH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYY | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs TB | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs BOS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-06-04 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Adley Rutschman’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.